How It Works
Prop Plays
Prop Plays are wagers on events that happen within a single sporintg event. They are a great way to get in on the action for specific aspects of how players and teams perform within a game and can apply to events and statistics registered by both individuals and a team as a collective.
Before we go any further, it's crucial to understand that by their definition, prop plays are not linked to the winner or loser of a game. That means they’re not connected to standard point spreads win/loss plays like moneylines, or the total points scored within a game (Over/Unders). Our site focuses specifically on player props [not team props and game props].
Our site focuses on player performance - not team results. We have found that this type of play is more consistent and provides the best probability of win percentage over the long run. The current performance record averages at nearly 75% in the NBA and over 80% for the NHL - see our reports for details statistics.
Our Strategy
Our strategy starts and ends on the amount of bankroll we have. We have listed our Bankroll Strategy on this page to follow on our daily play amount recommendations.
For example, if we have $100 as a starting bankroll, our daily play amount should be $6.00. We use a simple sliding scale - we increase/reduce our amounts ONLY based upon our bankroll. If we lose the $6.00 on our first play, we will then have a $94 banroll and our amount would reduce to $5.00 daily.
Now that we know our daily play amount, how do we know what type to play? Since our performance percentages are at 75%+, we are convinced playing parlays are the way to go.
What is a parlay? A parlay is made when a you makes two or more plays and combines them into one wager. You must win every play to win the parlay, and losing just one of the plays loses the parlay. Sportsbooks commonly provide larger payouts for adding more games to each parlay. Parlay are riskier since they comprise many individual chances but give a bigger payout if all individual wagers win.
OK, so if we want to play parlay wagers, how many plays should you combine to make a parlay wager? We recommend either a 2-play parlay or 3-play parlay as they have the best chances of winning.
Now we know our daily wager amount, our type of wager, the last thing to figure out is what player prop plays do we select? We have done all of the calculations for you on our site and we provide our raw Prop Statistics and our Pick Sheets to show you which of the player props are the best to play. Use the statistics to help you select which players to choose.
One Final Recommendation - We recommend wagering Prob Plays that are in the range of Odds from -300 to +150 as wagers that fall out of this range are either not likely to occur or are not worth the return on investment to make them worthwhile.
How much can we expect to win? In our winning strategy, we show you the range of expected winnings for both 2-Play and 3-Play parlays. This range is based upon the odds of the players that you select. For example: if you wager $6.00 on a 2-Play Parlay and the 2 players odds are both (-300), then your return would be $4.56 in winnings. If you take 2 players both with (-110) odds, then your expected winnings would be $15.78. The chart shows you the low watermark of (-300) for each player and a (-110) for the high watermark.
What are my chances of winning? Let's do some math. If we use our winning percentages from our reports, and assume a 75% chance of a player winning, the calculation is:
- 2-Play: 0.75 * 0.75 = 56.25% of our wagers should be winners
- 3-Play: 0.75 * 0.75 * 0.75 = 42.19% of our wagers should be winners
Our Recommendations
Bankroll Strategy
The below table displays how we recommend player to allocate daily amounts for their Prop Plays to keep playing for several months on one set bankroll.
| Bankroll | Daily Amount | 2-Play Parlay Winnings | 3-Play Parlay Winnings |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1.00 - $19.99 | $1.00 | $0.76 - $2.63 | $1.35 - $5.86 |
| $20.00 - $39.99 | $2.00 | $1.52 - $5.26 | $2.70 - $11.72 |
| $40.00 - $59.99 | $3.00 | $2.28 - $7.89 | $4.05 - $17.58 |
| $60.00 - $79.99 | $4.00 | $3.04 - $10.52 | $5.40 - $23.44 |
| $80.00 - $99.99 | $5.00 | $3.80 - $13.15 | $6.75 - $29.30 |
| $100.00 - $119.99 | $6.00 | $4.56 - $15.78 | $8.10 - $35.16 |
| $120.00 - $139.99 | $7.00 | $5.32 - $18.41 | $9.45 - $41.02 |
| $140.00 - $159.99 | $8.00 | $6.08 - $21.04 | $10.80 - $46.88 |
| $160.00 - $179.99 | $9.00 | $6.84 - $23.67 | $12.15 - $52.74 |
| $180.00 - $199.99 | $10.00 | $7.60 - $26.30 | $13.50 - $58.60 |
| $200.00 - $219.99 | $11.00 | $8.36 - $28.93 | $14.85 - $65.46 |
| $220.00 - $239.99 | $12.00 | $9.12 - $31.56 | $16.20 - $71.32 |
| $240.00 - $259.99 | $13.00 | $9.88 - $34.19 | $17.55 - $77.18 |
| $260.00 - $279.99 | $14.00 | $10.64 - $36.82 | $18.90 - $83.04 |
| $280.00 - $299.99 | $15.00 | $11.40 - $39.45 | $20.25 - $88.90 |
| $300.00 - $319.99 | $16.00 | $12.16 - $42.08 | $21.60 - $94.76 |
| $320.00 - $339.99 | $17.00 | $12.92 - $44.64 | $22.95 - $100.62 |
| $340.00 - $359.99 | $18.00 | $13.68 - $47.27 | $24.30 - $106.48 |
| $360.00 - $379.99 | $19.00 | $14.44 - $49.90 | $25.65 - $112.34 |
| $380.00 - $399.99 | $20.00 | $15.20 - $52.53 | $28.00 - $118.20 |
| $400+ | $20.00 | $15.20 - $52.53 | $28.00 - $118.20 |